As of 27 May, the country reported 270,000 cases when in reality there were an estimated 3.7 million cases.
THE NUMBER OF INFECTED PEOPLE IN BRAZIL WOULD ACTUALLY AMOUNT TO 3.7 MILLION PEOPLE
El Pais, the most widely read newspaper in Spain, reports that if the experts’ suspicions are well-founded, then the official figures given by the Brazilian Ministry of Health on the number of people in the country who are positive for coronavirus would be far below reality. The Spanish newspaper bases its analysis on the estimates of researchers at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine as well as on the analyses of Brazilian experts.
According to the British institution made up of mathematicians and epidemiologists, “there is a consensus in Brazil that the number of contagions is underestimated”. Indeed, they estimate that in reality it is not 270,000 people who are infected as the Brazilian Ministry of Health said on May 27, but 3.7 million people.
Brazilian experts say it is likely that nine out of ten people who test positive for coronavirus will not be detected in the country.
3,300 DEATHS RECORDED SINCE THE BEGINNING OF THE PANDEMIC
Researchers were particularly alerted to the country’s coronavirus case-fatality rate of 6.7 percent compared to 1 percent worldwide. Scientists then analyzed death records to compare the number of deaths since the beginning of the pandemic, on April 19 or 26, up to May 10, with the average number of deaths recorded in recent years, reports Courrier International.
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According to El Pais, the results of their research showed that “the difference between the official death toll due to Covid-19 and the above-average number of deaths is 3,300 deaths since the beginning of the pandemic” in the four cities studied by the researchers, which are Rio de Janeiro, Sao Paulo, Fortaleza and Manaus.